The tonys are coming! The tonys are coming! Here how I predict it will go down.
Best Play: August: Osage County, obviously. (sorry, Tom Stoppard)
Best Musical: In The Heights, because Tony voters love something traditional disguised as something new and original. Not that I don't love it, but it's a classic book musical with hip hop beats and bodegas, and that's why it will beat Passing Strange.
Best Book of a Musical: Passing Strange, if there's any sense in the world. In the Heights' book is it's biggest weakness, and Xanadu and Cry-Baby... whatever. I'm too bored just thinking about those shows to come up with anything clever to say.
Best Original Score: Passing Strange should win, but this one will be close. Stew and Heidi Rodewald rock the Belasco to its core every night, and that rock score is really the center of why the show is fucking awesome. On the other hand, the classic musical thing that In the Heights has going on is a big selling point, and voters really want to reward Lin-Manuel Miranda.
Best Revival of a Play: The Homecoming.
Best Revival of a Musical: Rodgers and Hammerstein's South Pacific, probably the most beautiful revival I have ever seen, and far more remarkable than the other big contender, Gypsy, a fantastic, almost perfect revival, but ultimately just a little less captivating production.
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play: "And the Tony goes to... Mark Rylance, Boeing-Boeing!" ...and 99.9% of viewers scratch their heads in a nationwide chorus of "wait, who?"
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play: Amy Morton, August: Osage County.
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical: Lin-Manuel Miranda, this year's golden boy of Broadway.
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical: Kerry Butler, obviously! Just kidding, (chuckle chuckle). Patti wins this one. I'll say it one more time, though, Kelli O'Hara is giving an absolutely remarkable performance in South Pacific, and would deserve every bit of that award were she to somehow win it. I just don't think it's possible.
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play: Raul Esparza, The Homecoming. Robbed last year, now it's payback time.
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play: Rondi Reed might be a shoo-in, but Sinead Cusack blew my mind in Rock 'n' Roll. One of the two ladies will take it.
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical: Boyd Gaines! Boyd Gaines! Boyd Gaines! Too bad for Danny Burstein, though, because he is soooo talented, and so winning and charming in South Pacific. But Boyd's Herbie is unparalleled.
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical: Laura Benanti. She is remarkable as Louise in Gypsy, so convincingly unremarkable at first, and then so believably glamorous in pitch-perfect style for that era.
Best Direction of a Play: Anna D. Shapiro, for August: Osage County.
Best Direction of a Musical: Arthur Laurents, Gypsy. You can dispute that the man who created the show nailed it in a way no director ever has. What could be more worthy of the Tony than that?
Best Choreography: Andy Blankenbuehler for In The Heights, as I predicted last year!
Best Orchestrations: I gotta go with Passing Strange again here. I don't even know what counts as orchestrations, but that band fucking rocks in a way that's more compelling than anything else on Broadway.
Best Scenic Design of a Play: August: Osage County.
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Sunday In The Park With George, I suppose.
Best Costume Design of a Play: Les Liasons Dangereuses seems like a no-brainer, despite the fact that Mamie Gummer said she looks like an upside-down teacup.
Best Costume Design of a Musical: In the Heights. So fun, and manages to be realistic and credible while looking amazing in those big dance numbers.
Best Lighting Design of a Play: August: Osage County.
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Rodgers and Hammerstein's South Pacific.
Best Sound Design of a Play: Rock 'n' Roll.
Best Sound Design of a Musical: In the Heights.
And for making all the way to the bottom of my Tony picks, here's a little Tony-time present from Moxie to her dear readers:


hubba hubba.